Uncertainty of the Linear Trend in the Zonal SST Gradient Across the Equatorial Pacific Since 1881     

Chan Zhang  Youmin Tang  Jun Ying  Junde Li 《大气与海洋》2019,57(1):61-72

The change in the zonal sea surface temperature gradient (ZSSTG) across the equatorial Pacific plays an important role in the global climate system. However, there has not yet been a consensual conclusion about the changing ZSSTG at either a short-term (from 20 to 90 years) or a long-term time scale (longer than 90 years) in the literature. In this study, the uncertainty of the trend in ZSSTG for different sub-periods since 1881 was examined using four interpolated datasets and four un-interpolated datasets. It was found that the trend in ZSSTG on the short-term time scale could be significantly influenced by internal variability such as the El Niño–Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. On the long-term time scale, the sign of the ZSSTG trend depends on the dataset used. In particular, it was not possible to draw a uniform conclusion about the secular trends in ZSSTG in recent history, given the high sensitivity of the ZSSTG trends to the period, dataset, and regions used to calculate the trends. Our results imply that it may not be possible to detect the response of ZSSTG to global warming until a longer data record becomes available in the future.  相似文献   

玉树隆宝2014年冬季冻土积雪对陆气通量关键参数的影响分析     

张海宏  姜海梅  周秉荣  祁栋林 《气象》2019,45(11):1550-1559

利用玉树隆宝湿地的观测资料,分析了未冻结、冻结和冻结有积雪覆盖三种情况下动量通量和感热通量的日变化情况,计算了三种情况下动量总体输送系数、感热总体输送系数、动力学粗糙度和热力学粗糙度,分析了附加阻尼和粗糙度雷诺数的关系,并将三种附加阻尼的参数化方案进行了比较,结果表明:冻结状态下动量通量和感热通量的日变化幅度最大,冻结有积雪覆盖时,动量通量和感热通量的日变化幅度最小。动量总体输送系数C_D和感热总体输送系数C_H的值在冻结时最大,冻结有积雪覆盖时最小,动力学粗糙度和热力学粗糙度在冻结状况下最小,冻结有积雪覆盖时最大。未冻结、冻结和冻结有积雪覆盖状态下,三种附加阻尼kB~(-1)参数化方案中,幂函数型方案较为合适。  相似文献   

基于Himawari-8卫星的云参数和降水关系研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

桂海林  诸葛小勇  韦晓澄  刘伯骏  唐志军  江琪 《气象》2019,45(11):1579-1588

基于日本Himawari-8卫星的云产品,对中国中东部地区2017年夏季(6—8月)每日08—17时的降水资料进行了分析,重点讨论了云光学厚度(COD)、云顶粒子平均尺度(CPS)、云顶温度(CTT)三个云参数与降水的关系。试验表明,降水概率与云参数相关性较高,存在随着COD增加、CPS增加、CTT减小而增加的明显趋势。但是,单个云参数与降水强度相关性则较低;COD、CPS、CTT与小时降雨率的相关系数分别为0.2315、0.1823、-0.2235,均为弱相关。如果综合考虑联合两个或三个云参数形成小时降雨率分布矩阵,则降水过程能得到更为清晰的体现。2017年8月28日的个例表明,相比纯粹基于红外的算法,三参数方法可以明显提高小时降雨率的估计精度。  相似文献   

基于偏最小二乘回归的区域换式风速预报订正技术研究     

杨程  姜瑜君  余贞寿  姜文东  康丽莉  王丽吉 《气象》2019,(5):676-684

利用偏最小二乘回归技术,将预报产品作为自变量,相应的自动气象站观测资料作为因变量,对2013-2016年冬季浙江省中尺度区域模式预报近地面风速进行订正和评估。所选956站中多数站点风速订正后有所改善,通过定量分析可知浙江西部地区整体改善效果最好,其中效果明显站点占91.7%;中部地区改善效果明显站点占86.5%;东部沿海地区改善效果略差,明显改善的站点占67%。各地级市整体表现均不错,除舟山地区为49.9%外,其他地区风速改善比例均超过50%。选取2017年1月20日浙江东北地区沿海大风过程分析发现订正后的风速与观测风速更为接近,在定海大岛站点(靠里)中表现尤为明显,订正后的结果具有显著参考价值。  相似文献   

利用风廓线雷达研究郑州机场低空急流特征及其对飞行的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李健  栗敬仁  田军 《热带气象学报》2019,35(3):343-352

利用2016、2017年郑州机场高分辨率边界层风廓线雷达半小时平均观测资料, 对机场上空低空急流时空分布特征进行统计研究, 结果表明:夏末、秋季低空急流出现次数相对较少, 春季、夏初是高发时期, 冬季易出现较强的超低空急流, 只有春季风速从低层到高层呈现先增大后减小、再增大的变化过程, 8月末可能是急流的时空转换期; 夜间和凌晨是高发时段, 白天降低30%~40%, 一般情况下, 00—12时(世界时, 下同)急流较弱, 12时后明显增强向上发展, 19时开始减弱, 持续至21时; 急流中心最大风速一半以上在12~18 m/s, 高度集中在60~180 m和300~900 m, 超低空急流占大部分, 夜间出现最大风速的概率远高于白天; 低空急流发生高度大部分在飞机起飞或着陆的范围内, 使飞机复飞概率增加, 对夜间航班影响更大。   相似文献   

山东诸城地区下白垩统一新类型鸟类足迹     

张艳霞  孙业君  陈军  崔卫生  陈树清  王增涛 《地质论评》2024,70(1):2024010011-2024010011

1931年,Mehl报道的来自Dakota Group的Ignotornis mcconnelli是第一个被广泛接受的中生代鸟类足迹。目前,亚洲、北美洲、欧洲、非洲和南美洲都有白垩纪鸟类足迹的报道,尤其以东亚地区最为丰富。山东诸城张祝河湾恐龙足迹点保存了一枚完整的鸟类足迹,本文对该鸟类足迹进行了详细描述与对比。研究认为,该鸟类足迹区别于以往发现的鸟类足迹,根据其形态建立了新种：玲珑诸城鸟足迹Zhuchengornipes exquisitus。玲珑诸城鸟足迹造迹者可能为滨鸟类,形成于干旱气候下的滨浅湖环境。  相似文献   

煤层瓦斯富集区核磁共振探测技术研究     

童雪瑞  姜志海  刘树才  李毛飞  王文闯 《地质论评》2024,70(S1):141-142

  相似文献   

分子鉴定方法研究大亚湾水体弧菌种类变化   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

江晓  任春华  胡超群  罗鹏  陈偿  冯敬宾 《热带海洋学报》2010,29(4)

借助分子鉴定方法监测大亚湾水体中弧菌Vibrio种类季节性动态的变化规律.通过增菌培养、菌株分离,在224份海水中共分离出弧菌368株,并用分子生物学辅助生化鉴定方法鉴定弧菌菌株.结果表明,在大亚湾海域水体中鉴定的弧菌种类有溶藻弧菌Vibrio alginolyticus、副溶血弧菌V.parahaemolyticus、哈氏弧菌V.harveyi和创伤弧菌V.vuinificus,没有检测到霍乱弧菌V.cholerae、拟态弧菌V.mimicus、河流弧菌V.fluvialis和霍利斯弧菌V.hollisae.溶藻弧菌和副溶血弧菌为优势菌群,分别占弧菌总数的27.99%和21.74%.  相似文献   

Seasonal variations of phytoplankton diversity in the Coleroon coastal waters, southeast coast of India   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Thillai Rajasekar K  Rajkumar M  SUN Jun  Ashok Prabu V  Perumal P 《海洋学报(英文版)》2010,29(5):97-108

The results of an investigation carried out during June 2005 to May 2007 on physico-chemical parameters,species composition and community structure of phytoplankton including Chlorophyll a(Chl-a) at the Coleroon coastal waters(Southeast coast of India) are reported.Air and surface water temperatures(°C) varied from 25.1 to 30.1 and from 24.5 to 28.5 respectively.Salinity values varied from 6 to 28.5 and the pH ranged between 7.0 and 8.3.Variation in dissolved oxygen content was from 3.1 to 7.5 mg/dm-3 while the light extinction coefficient values(LEC) ranged between 3.1 and 10.1 cm.The ranges of inorganic nutrients(μmol/dm-3) viz.,nitrate,nitrite,phosphate and silicate were 10.1-23.4,1.2-8.9,0.2-3.1 and 55-125,respectively.The ranges of Chlorophyll a(μg/dm-3) values was 2.0-7.5.Presently,124 phytoplankton species representing different classes viz:Bacillariophyceae(77),Dinophyceae(19),Cyanophyceae(15),Chlorophyceae(10) and Chrysophyceae(3) were recorded.The phytoplankton cell abundance varied from 0.290 to 111.662 cells/cm-3,with peak diversity(3.38 bits/ind.) during summer season.The maximum abundance was found during summer season coinciding with the stable hydrographical conditions.The seasonal distribution and abundance of phytoplankton are discussed in relation to hydrographical parameters.Canonical Correspondence Analysis(CCA) was applied in this paper for discriminating environmental factors having effect on phytoplankton community at species level.Coleroon coastal water is subjected to long term fluctuations in physico-chemical parameters depending upon the seasonal tidal amplitude and freshwater influx resulting in a continuous exchange of organic,inorganic,plant and animal matters.  相似文献   

Study on Flow Field Around Vertical Breakwater Under Different Overtopping Conditions Based on Numerical Simulation     

蒋学炼  吴米玲  李炎保 《中国海洋工程》2010,(4)

A numerical wave flume is constructed based on the Reynolds Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations with turbulence closure by a modified k-ε model to study the viscous interactions of waves with vertical breakwaters for different overtopping cases. The governing equations,the turbulence model,boundary conditions,and solution method for the numerical wave flume are introduced briefly. The reliability of the numerical wave flume is examined by comparing the numerical results with the experimental measurement...  相似文献